Budget Made Simple

Theme – Connectivity , Shelter , Assurance , Women , Rural , Social 

  • Road – GRAM SADAK 

  • Rail – Infrastructure enhancement

  • Air – UDAAN 

  • Inland Water ways – NADI 

  • Gas – URJA 

  • Safe Drinking Water – PANI 

  • Metro – Urban connectivity

  • Rural Assurance – MGNREGA 

  • Rural Sanitation 

  • Shelter – Affordable Houses in shorter period (AWAS) 

  • Assurance – Karam Maandhan ( Pension ) & Rural Assurance – MGNREGA 

  • Women  – Mahila Mudra – Women entrepreneurship  

  • Digital – Less Cash More Digital Facilitation 

High on Intent – What matters is Execution to balance the equation  

Who gives – Resource mobilisation 

  1. External Borrowing – Foreign inflow in forms of loans to Govt of India 

  • Big Advantages

    • domestic money market will not be disturbed and funds would be available to fund private borrowing

    • funding received at lower interest rates

    • domestic interest rates will ease and that will fuel private investment  

    • Fiscal Deficit reduced to 3.3% from 3.4% 

  • One disadvantage is unfavourable exchange rate but this is only possible if economy remains weak relatively . Hence that is a risk worth at this stage of the economy . 

    2. Tax Increased for Taxable Income above Rs 2 Crore & Rs 5 Crore

3. Increased Tax Collection – Dependent on Revival of Economy -if above measures can    kickstart the economy and ignite animal  spirit this would be the way forward

4. Disinvestment in PSU – through CPSE ETF -Eligible Sec 80 C

5. Relaxed FPI – Foreign Portfolio Limits & NRI Limits to attract foreign funds

Structural – Resource utilisation 

Improving liquidity in the system by allowing banks to purchase Quality Assets from NBFC 

INR 70000 Crore – Further Recapitalising Banks 

INR 60000 Crore – MNREGA

INR 15500 Crore – SADAK

Tax Incentives for Housing Sector 

Our Take 
Head room is limited for the economy without investment in the economy to expect wonders is far fetched . A consumer finally works in an industry and industry should be confident to invest to benefit the consumer in the long run . Stock Market being upset is actually a good sign since my firm belief is stock market has become too short term focus , just like quarter to quarter results of company , someone wanting to do great work is not encouraged for want of results , we tend to ignore the fundamental premise that results is a by product of the efforts which are strategic in nature . US is US where it is only because a long term view which happened back on 1970’s under great leadership . Today we have potential but throttled with capital scarcity , poor labour laws and costly land as key factors of production

A country of an India Size and the population inclusive growth and improving lives and thereby per capita income is going to reap long range benefits .

Stock market is not a true barometer , what is real is the inclusive growth and broad based growth hence we see a polarised market with only top 50 companies and among them only 7-8 companies doing phenomenally great and having higher weights just firs the sensex but this is not growth in real sense . Expectations have to be sobered on investment expectations , wrong expectations will lead to more risk taking thereby damaging capital formation and destructing capital in the process . 

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